Topic hub
Climate claims and predictions
See climate, energy, and sustainability claims tested against real-world developments. 209 tracked claims across 62 actors, with 58 resolved outcomes on FactTracker.
Recent Climate claims
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There is a 63% chance of a 'very strong' El Niño between November and January
By National Weather Service's Climate Prediction Center · Jun 11, 2026
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El Niño is expected to strengthen into the winter months of 2026 and early 2027
By National Weather Service's Climate Prediction Center · Jun 11, 2026
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the average global temperature between 2026 and 2030 will exceed the agreed-upon global limit for warming
By United Nations · May 28, 2026
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There’s a 91% chance that at least one of the next five years will be the hottest on record
By World Meteorological Organization · May 28, 2026
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There’s a 91% chance that at least one of the next five years will be the hottest on record
By United Nations · May 28, 2026
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there’s a 91% chance that at least one of the next five years will be the hottest on record
By UN · May 28, 2026
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an overheating Arctic that warms nearly 3 degrees Fahrenheit (1.66 degrees Celsius) between now and 2030
By World Meteorological Organization · May 28, 2026
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The next five years will smash records
By United Nations · May 28, 2026
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a tornado or two may produce an EF2 strength tornado
By Storm Prediction Center · May 17, 2026
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a hatched tornado forecast for Michigan
By Storm Prediction Center · May 17, 2026