Topic hub
Politics claims and predictions
Browse political claims, policy statements, and government forecasts tracked over time. 357 tracked claims across 109 actors, with 219 resolved outcomes on FactTracker.
Recent Politics claims
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California will tax 100% of Trump anti-weaponization funds
By Gavin Newsom · May 28, 2026
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2026 will be a significant year for strongmen making mistakes
By Yuval Noah Harari · May 26, 2026
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if his party, the centre-right Moderates, hold on to power in September’s general election, they will also fund IVF for additional children
By Kristersson · May 25, 2026
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A referendum on Alberta independence will be held in October 2026
By Alberta Government · May 22, 2026
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Alberta will vote for independence in 2026
By Newsweek · May 22, 2026
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Alberta will vote for independence in 2026
By prediction markets · May 22, 2026
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The chances that Alberta will vote for independence in 2026 have risen slightly on prediction markets after it was announced the oil-rich province will hold a referendum on whether it should stay in Canada or go ahead with a second binding vote on separation.
By Newsweek · May 22, 2026
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Alberta will vote for independence in 2026
By Prediction Market · May 22, 2026
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Alberta will hold a referendum on whether it should stay in Canada or take legal steps towards separation this October
By Newsweek · May 22, 2026
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The only off-ramp to the Iran War is to negotiate a deal with the Iranians.
By John Mearsheimer · May 19, 2026