Gary Marcus

Recent claims

• Dara Amadi's statement that AI will solve cancer in five years will not happen.
  Oct 15, 2026
• Sam Altman will not be the CEO of OpenAI by next year, by the time we get to Tokyo.
  Oct 15, 2026
• The Anthropic IPO will happen.
  Oct 14, 2026
• OpenAI will not be led by Sam Altman as CEO by the time we get to Tokyo (next year), either because he gets replaced or because they have to sell his company for cents on the dollar because the IPO falls through.
  Oct 14, 2026
• some other country, could be Canada, could be some place in Europe might actually develop that technology and that could change everything
  Oct 13, 2026
• there's going to be some major cyber security problem, where for example an electrical grid goes down and when that happens then like hospitals are going to have problems, people will die in the hospitals
  Oct 13, 2026
• More and more countries are going to build their own sovereign AI because they don't want those dependencies.
  Sep 14, 2026
• As efficiencies come in place, the advantage of having giant clusters of of GPUs will diminish. You won't need quite as many in order to do most of what you want to do.
  Sep 14, 2026
• China will catch up on the chip side. The price of chips will go down and people are actually going to lose a lot of money on chips when they depreciate and you have, you know, more chips than you really need.
  Sep 14, 2026
• People are going to make more and more efficient systems. They're optimized to use fewer and fewer chips to run locally rather than on the cloud. And so we're going to wind up with all these data centers we don't really need and the advantage is not going to be in the data centers but in developing a better technology.
  Sep 14, 2026