Prediction accountability report
Politics prediction accountability report
A sourced scorecard of politics predictions with deadlines, outcomes, and receipts.
Why this is linkable
Useful as a neutral receipts link for journalists, newsletter writers, and researchers covering the topic.
Generated from FactTracker's tracked claim database on Sep 21, 2026.
Tracked claims
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If 2016 was the first Twitter election, then 2024 will be the Bitcoin election.
Balaji Srinivasan · Deadline: Nov 5, 2024 · Resolved: Sep 17, 2026 · Result: Uncertain · primary source
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With the nuclear agreement, Iran's breakout time (to produce enough fissile material for a weapon) will increase to at least one year for a period of at least 10 years, starting from...
John Kerry · Deadline: Jul 14, 2025 · Resolved: Sep 18, 2026 · Result: False · secondary source
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Donald Trump will win the 2024 US Presidential Election in a landslide.
Dave Rubin · Deadline: Nov 5, 2024 · Resolved: Aug 28, 2026 · Result: Uncertain · primary source
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Donald Trump will win the 2024 presidential election.
Tucker Carlson · Deadline: Nov 5, 2024 · Resolved: Aug 28, 2026 · Result: Uncertain · primary source
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Carlson told Die Weltwoche that Trump... doubts he can make a comeback in 2024.
Tucker Carlson · Deadline: Nov 5, 2024 · Resolved: Sep 15, 2026 · Result: Uncertain · secondary source
Cite this report
FactTracker, "Politics prediction accountability report", https://facttracker.app/reports/politics-prediction-accountability, accessed Sep 21, 2026.
Methodology: how FactTracker extracts and verifies claims. Data: JSON · CSV.
Research queries
- "Politics" predictions journalist
- "Politics" forecast newsletter
- "Politics" claims analysis
- site:substack.com "Politics" predictions