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Economic forecasts tracker
FactTracker makes economic forecasts auditable by linking each claim to a source, a publication date, an expected outcome, and the eventual result when available.
What this tracker covers
Track economic forecasts about inflation, interest rates, jobs, recession, trade, growth, and markets.
- Inflation, interest-rate, labor-market, and recession forecasts.
- GDP, trade, market, fiscal-policy, and central-bank claims.
- Resolved and pending predictions from economists, policymakers, and institutions.
For the full topic view, see Economy.
Tracked examples
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Doubling Russia's GDP by 2010 is a realistic goal.
Vladimir Putin · Aug 17, 2004 · False · Source: rferl.org
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Russia's GDP will double by 2010.
Vladimir Putin · Aug 17, 2004 · False · Source: rferl.org
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We will grow the economy, creating better-paid jobs and opportunity right across the country, aiming for 0.5% GDP growth.
Rishi Sunak · Jan 4, 2023 · True · Source: gov.uk
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We will grow the economy [in 2023], creating better-paid jobs and opportunity right across the country.
Rishi Sunak · Jan 4, 2023 · True · Source: gov.uk
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Stubbornly high inflation would trigger a U.S. economic recession.
Jamie Dimon · Dec 6, 2022 · False · Source: foxbusiness.com
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the world's biggest economies are chronically out of sync
Gita Gopinath · May 19, 2026 · Pending · Source: axios.com
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The global economy is projected to grow by 2.7% in 2025.
World Bank · Nov 24, 2025 · Unresolvable · Source: hdl.handle.net
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The UK economy will grow by 1 per cent in 2025.
Andrew Bailey · May 8, 2025 · Unresolvable · Source: independent.co.uk
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Brazil's economy will grow above 3% in 2025.
Lula da Silva · Mar 20, 2025 · Unresolvable · Source: riotimesonline.com
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The United States market will see additional cost increases due to inflation.
Larry Fink · Mar 10, 2025 · Unresolvable · Source: uk.investing.com
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Hans-Werner Sinn predicted a shrinkage (negative growth) of Germany's gross domestic product for 2023.
Hans-Werner Sinn · Oct 3, 2023 · True · Source: youtube.com
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The American economy will be in a recession.
Jamie Dimon · Oct 11, 2022 · False · Source: swarajyamag.com
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The US economy could face a possible recession in the fourth quarter of 2022.
Jamie Dimon · Apr 14, 2022 · False · Source: arabnews.com
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The Federal Reserve forecasts the U.S. economy will expand 2.8% this year.
Jerome Powell · Mar 30, 2022 · Unresolvable · Source: independent.co.uk
Top tracked actors
- Jerome Powell 26 tracked claims
- Christine Lagarde 12 tracked claims
- Warren Buffett 11 tracked claims
- Vladimir Putin 8 tracked claims
- International Monetary Fund 7 tracked claims
- Narendra Modi 6 tracked claims
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