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Inflation predictions tracker
This tracker focuses on public claims about inflation, rates, and central-bank policy so readers can compare expectations against later economic data.
What this tracker covers
Track inflation predictions, CPI calls, central-bank statements, and interest-rate forecasts with source history and outcomes.
- Inflation, CPI, price-pressure, and disinflation calls.
- Federal Reserve, ECB, and central-bank rate forecasts.
- Policy claims from politicians, analysts, economists, and institutions.
For the full topic view, see Economy.
Tracked examples
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we expect the European Central Bank to lean against inflation risks with one further hike this year
Shaan Raithatha · Aug 11, 2026 · Pending · Source: corporate.vanguard.com
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We are committed to setting monetary policy to ensure that inflation stabilises at our 2% target in the medium term.
Christine Lagarde · Apr 30, 2026 · Pending · Source: youtube.com
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Jerome Powell stated that price rises would keep falling to the central bank's 2% target by the end of 2024.
Jerome Powell · Mar 29, 2024 · False · Source: voanews.com
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The European Central Bank is very unlikely to raise its interest rates in 2022.
Christine Lagarde · Nov 3, 2021 · False · Source: mettisylobal.com
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Der Euro werde bis Ende des Jahres in einer Hyperinflation seinen Wert verlieren; als Ersatz werde die Europäische Zentralbank „Digitalgeld“ einführen.
Markus Krall · May 1, 2021 · False · Source: de.wikipedia.org
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The increase in energy prices will keep inflation well above 2% in the near term.
Christine Lagarde · Apr 30, 2026 · Pending · Source: youtube.com
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Consumer Prices Index (CPI) inflation is on track to peak at 3.5% in the third quarter of 2025.
Andrew Bailey · May 8, 2025 · False · Source: independent.co.uk
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The European Central Bank hopes to hit its 2% inflation target in 2025.
Christine Lagarde · Jan 2, 2025 · True · Source: irishexaminer.com
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Inflation will be temporarily higher in Q4 2024 before returning to the 2% inflation target in 2025.
Christine Lagarde · Dec 13, 2024 · False · Source: dbs.com
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The Bank of Japan will adjust the degree of monetary easing (raise interest rates) if underlying inflation accelerates toward the BOJ's 2% target.
Kazuo Ueda · Nov 30, 2024 · Pending · Source: japantimes.co.jp
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The ECB will reach the 2% inflation target sustainably in the course of 2025.
Christine Lagarde · Oct 22, 2024 · False · Source: investing.com
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The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at most twice.
Larry Fink · Apr 12, 2024 · True · Source: qz.com
Top tracked actors
- Christine Lagarde 20 tracked claims
- Jerome Powell 19 tracked claims
- Kazuo Ueda 10 tracked claims
- Andrew Bailey 9 tracked claims
- Larry Fink 5 tracked claims
- Consultant 4 tracked claims
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