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AI predictions tracker

FactTracker collects public AI predictions and checks them against real outcomes, so readers can compare what experts, companies, and public figures said before the result was known.

  • Matched claims: 184
  • Tracked actors: 55
  • Resolved outcomes: 65
  • Pending claims: 101

What this tracker covers

Track AI predictions about models, chips, agents, robotics, regulation, and adoption with sources, deadlines, and outcomes.

  • Model capability claims, AGI timelines, and agent automation forecasts.
  • Chip, GPU, data-center, robotics, and AI infrastructure predictions.
  • Regulation, safety, labor-market, and enterprise adoption claims.

For the full topic view, see Technology.

Tracked examples

Top tracked actors

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